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Time series

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA MA – FIA FMA › Time series

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 4 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • December 1, 2020 at 3:26 am #597218
    applessauce
    Member
    • Topics: 85
    • Replies: 65
    • ☆☆

    Which of the following could be included in a time series based sales forecast?

    (i) Trend
    (ii) Seasonal Variation
    (iii) Cyclical Variation
    (iv) Random fluctuation

    My answer; All options
    Sir the correct answer was all three options except for Random fluctutation
    Sir why is that correct answer like this??

    Because I remember that the theory says that it includes ‘Random Variables’ in a time series analysis

    December 1, 2020 at 7:36 am #597233
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54679
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    There will be random variations, but the question asks which could be included in a forecast and we cannot forecast random variations.

    December 4, 2020 at 1:44 pm #597632
    applessauce
    Member
    • Topics: 85
    • Replies: 65
    • ☆☆

    Oh ok so time series analysis records

    Trend
    Seasonal Variation
    Cyclical variations
    Random variations

    On the otherhand it doesn’t include random variations because it is irregular and is diffucult to predict right sir??

    December 4, 2020 at 2:27 pm #597643
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54679
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Random variations are not just difficult to predict – they are impossible to predict (because they occur at random) 🙂

  • Author
    Posts
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • The topic ‘Time series’ is closed to new replies.

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