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BPP Mock Exam 1 section B Question 19

KKwameSupporter5y ago
Hi John, could you please assist me with this question. I wanted to know how the EV without perfect information was calculated. The following is the table for the question and we are asked to find the value of perfect information. Supply Level Demand Level Probability 450 650 775 960 $ $ $ $ 450 (0.15) 1170 980 810 740 620 (0.30) 1170 1612 1395 1290 775 (0.40) 1170 1612 2015 1785 960 (0.15) 1170 1612 2015 2496 I know how to calculate the EV with perfect information which is the $1839.50 The EV without perfect information is $1648.25 (at a supply level of 775 lunches). I don't understand how this was calculated.
John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor5y ago#1
For each of the different supply levels we calculate the expected value, and then choose the highest of those expected values (which turns out to be the expected value when the supply is 775). Have you not watched my free lectures on decision making under uncertainty?
KKwameSupporter5y ago#2
Thanks John, I've gone back to watch the lectures again. I've got it now. Really appreciate your help.
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