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IAS 37 Provisions, contingent assets and liabilities

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IAS 37 Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets is the standard for accounting for uncertainty. An employee has an accident at work and sues; the case will not be decided for two years; nobody yet knows whether the company will pay anything at all, or how much. Something has to appear in this year's financial statements, and IAS 37 decides what.

Three outcomes are possible for that kind of item — recognise a provision, disclose a contingent liability, or say nothing — and the whole chapter is about which one applies. A fourth possibility, the contingent asset, is the same question with the roles reversed: the company is the one doing the suing.

Provisions (IAS 37): the lecture’s worked examples are not this chapter’s — it works BBOP and “Wedding”/Future, where the chapter’s five are HR Co, G-Star, Justina, Daiva and Paulius.

The Conceptual Framework: the recording attributes the “probable outflow / measure reliably” recognition test to the Framework. Those are IAS 37’s own criteria and they are correct as tests, but the 2018 Conceptual Framework replaced that recognition test with relevance and faithful representation — which is what F1 Chapter 4 teaches. There is also one “probable inflow” slip where outflow is meant.

This recording predates IFRS 18 Presentation and Disclosure in Financial Statements, which replaces IAS 1 for accounting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2027. Where the recording’s statement of profit or loss differs from this chapter’s, the chapter governs. The operating/financing split of a discounted provision is set out in this chapter’s closing section.

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1 Why the standard has rules at all

A provision is a credit to a liability and a debit to an expense, so creating one reduces this year's profit — and releasing one, when it turns out not to be needed, increases a later year's profit. Before IAS 37 that was an open invitation.

In a very good year the directors could create provisions that were not really needed, pushing reported profit down. In a poor year they could release them, pushing reported profit back up. The result was a smooth, steadily rising profit line that owed nothing to how the business had actually performed — profit smoothing, and in its most extreme form the big bath: dumping a large number of provisions into one already-bad year so that every year afterwards looks better.

The point of the standard

IAS 37 exists to stop that. It does not simply say "use judgement": it sets conditions that must be met before a provision may be recognised at all, and requires a provision to be used only for the expenditure it was set up for. Both rules take the discretion away.

2 Provisions

Provision

A liability of uncertain timing or amount.

That is what separates a provision from an ordinary payable or accrual: not that it is estimated, but that either the amount or the date of settlement — or both — is genuinely uncertain.

2.1 The recognition test

A provision is recognised only when all three of the following are met — and each "no" leads to the same place:

1 Is there a present obligation, legal orconstructive, as a result of a past event?2 Is an outflow of economic benefitsprobable, that is more likely than not?3 Can the amount be estimated reliably?YesYesYesNoNoNoDisclose acontingent liabilityNothing at all if theoutflow is remoteRecognise a provisionat the best estimate of the outflow

Each condition, in turn:

The test

What decides it

1

Present obligation

The obligating event must already have happened by the reporting date, and must give rise to an obligation that is either legal or constructive. This is the condition IAS 37 adds; the other two come from the general recognition requirements for a liability.

2

Probable outflow

More likely than not — a greater than 50% chance that the entity will have to settle. This is the condition that fails most often, and it is where the examiner puts the percentage.

3

Reliable estimate

In practice this almost never fails. IAS 37 says that where no reliable estimate can be made — which it describes as extremely rare — no provision is recognised and a contingent liability is disclosed instead.

Arises from

Example

Legal obligation

A contract, legislation, or another operation of law.

A court judgment; a purchase contract; an environmental law requiring a site to be restored.

Constructive obligation

An established pattern of past practice, a published policy or a sufficiently specific current statement, by which the entity has indicated to other parties that it will accept certain responsibilities — and has as a result created a valid expectation in those parties that it will discharge them.

A retailer with a published "money back, no questions asked" policy that it has honoured year in, year out. It is under no legal duty to refund a customer who simply changed their mind, but it has created a valid expectation that it will.

A constructive obligation needs both limbs. A policy nobody knows about creates no expectation; an expectation with no pattern of past practice or public statement behind it is only a hope. And an intention is not an obligation at all — the directors deciding something in a board meeting binds nobody until it is communicated or acted on. That distinction decides the restructuring examples later in this chapter.

3 Measurement

A provision is measured at the best estimate of the expenditure required to settle the present obligation at the reporting date. How that estimate is arrived at depends on what is being measured:

What is being measured

Best estimate is

A single obligation — one court case, one clean-up

The individual most likely outcome.

A large population of similar items — warranty claims, refunds

The expected value: each possible outcome weighted by its probability.

Best estimate (single obligation)

Following the explosion of an oil rig that resulted in large amounts of environmental damage, the company was taken to court by the local authority, which is seeking to recover the costs of the clean-up operation. The company has been informed by its lawyers that it is probable it will be liable for those costs. The lawyers have estimated the following possible financial settlements and their likelihood:

Settlement amount ($m)

Likelihood of settlement

25

20%

40

45%

65

35%

A single obligation is being measured — one payment, to clean up one site — so the best estimate is the individual most likely outcome. That is the $40 million settlement, at 45%, and $40 million is the amount provided.

Do not stop at the highest percentage without looking at the rest. IAS 37 requires the other possible outcomes to be considered as well, and says that where they are mostly higher — or mostly lower — than the most likely outcome, the best estimate is a higher, or lower, amount. In the illustration above the outcomes above $40 million carry more weight (35%) than the one below it (20%), so a figure somewhat above $40 million could be justified on those facts. The most-likely-outcome rule is the starting point, not the whole of it.

Best estimate (large population)

A company sells second-hand cars with a six-month warranty that promises to repair the cars if any faults occur following the sale. The company has estimated that 80% of the cars sold in the last six months will require no repairs, 15% will require minor repairs and the remaining 5% will require major repairs.

If all the cars were to need minor repairs the cost would be $100,000; if all of them needed major repairs the cost would be $500,000.

A large population of items is being measured, so the best estimate is the expected value:

Outcome

Probability

Cost if it applied to all $

Expected value $

No repairs

80%

–

–

Minor repairs

15%

100,000

15,000

Major repairs

5%

500,000

25,000

Provision

40,000

3.1 Other measurement rules

  • Discounting. Where the effect of the time value of money is material, the provision is the present value of the expenditure expected to settle the obligation.

  • Unwinding the discount. In each later period the carrying amount of a discounted provision increases as the settlement date approaches. That increase is recognised as a finance cost, not as an operating expense — it is interest, not a revision of the estimate.

  • Gains on the expected disposal of assets are not taken into account, even if the disposal is closely linked to the event giving rise to the provision. They are recognised when the disposal happens, under the standard that governs it.

  • Reimbursements — from an insurer, say — are recognised only when receipt is virtually certain. The reimbursement is a separate asset, not a deduction from the provision, and it may not exceed the provision. In profit or loss the two may be presented net.

Discounting and provisions

HR Co has a year end of 31 December 20X8. It was notified that on 1 July 20X8 a former employee had brought a legal claim for unfair dismissal. HR Co's legal team have said that it is probable that HR Co will lose the case, resulting in a payment of $495,000 on 30 June 20X9.

HR Co has a cost of capital of 10% per annum. A one year discount factor at 10% is 0.9091.

Calculate the amounts to be recognised in the financial statements of HR Co for the year ended 31 December 20X8.

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Discounting and provisions

All three recognition conditions are met at 1 July 20X8: the dismissal is a past event giving rise to a present legal obligation, the lawyers say an outflow is probable, and the amount is estimated at $495,000. The payment is a year away and the effect of discounting is material, so the provision is recognised at its present value on that date:

$

Provision at 1 July 20X8 ($495,000 × 0.9091)

450,000

The provision is then unwound at 10% for the six months from 1 July to the reporting date. That increase is a finance cost:

$

Finance cost ($450,000 × 10% × 6/12)

22,500

Extracts from the financial statements for the year ended 31 December 20X8

Statement of financial position

$

Statement of profit or loss

$

Provision

472,500

Expense (the provision recognised)

450,000

Finance cost (unwinding of the discount)

22,500

The remaining $22,500 of unwinding is charged in the six months to 30 June 20X9, bringing the provision to $495,000 on the day it is paid.

4 Subsequent measurement

  • Provisions are reviewed at each reporting date and adjusted to the current best estimate.

  • If it is no longer probable that an outflow will be required, the provision is reversed — released back to profit or loss.

  • A provision may be used only for the expenditure for which it was originally recognised. A provision set up for a legal claim cannot later be spent against a restructuring; setting a different cost against it would hide that cost from profit or loss, which is exactly the abuse the rule exists to prevent.

A decommissioning provision, and how it unwinds

An entity acquires a mine. When the ore has all been extracted in ten years' time the entity is legally obliged to landscape the site, at a cost with a present value today of $2 million. The obligation arises whether or not any further ore is extracted, and the entity's discount rate is 10%.

The directors propose to accrue $2,000,000 ÷ 10 = $200,000 a year over the life of the mine. That is wrong. The obligating event — opening the mine — has already happened, so the whole present obligation exists now:

On acquisition

$

Dr Mine (added to the cost of the asset)

2,000,000

Cr Provision for landscaping

2,000,000

In each of the following years the provision is unwound at 10%, so the first year's charge is $2,000,000 × 10% = $200,000 — the same figure the directors proposed, but arrived at correctly and, importantly, presented as a finance cost rather than an operating expense. The provision grows year by year to the amount that will actually be paid.

Note also where the debit went: an obligation to restore a site is part of the cost of having the site, so it is capitalised into the asset and depreciated, not expensed at once.

5 Contingent liabilities

Contingent liability

Either (a) a possible obligation arising from past events, whose existence will be confirmed only by the occurrence or non-occurrence of one or more uncertain future events not wholly within the entity's control; or (b) a present obligation that is not recognised because an outflow is not probable, or because the amount cannot be measured with sufficient reliability.

A contingent liability is never recognised. It is disclosed — the nature of the obligation, an estimate of its financial effect where practicable, and an indication of the uncertainties — unless the possibility of an outflow is remote, in which case nothing is said at all.

The three routes into contingent-liability territory are the three failed conditions of the recognition test. In practice the first two do all the work:

  • A possible obligation, not a present one. An employee slipped at work and is claiming the entity was at fault — but the cleaner had put a warning sign out. Whether the entity did anything wrong will be settled by the court, not by the entity. Until then there is only a possible obligation.

  • A present obligation with an outflow that is only possible. The entity accepts it may have to pay, but its lawyers put the chance at less than 50%. Not probable, so not a provision.

  • No reliable estimate — which IAS 37 describes as extremely rare.

Provisions and contingencies (1)

The following items have to be considered when finalising the financial statements of G-Star Co, a limited liability company.

  1. The company gives warranties on its products. The company's statistics show that about 5% of sales give rise to a warranty claim.

  2. The company has guaranteed the overdraft of another company. The likelihood of a liability arising under the guarantee is assessed as possible.

What is the correct action to be taken in the financial statements for these items?

Item 1

Item 2

A

Create a provision

Disclose by note only

B

Disclose by note only

No action

C

Create a provision

Create a provision

D

Disclose by note only

Disclose by note only

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Provisions and contingencies (1)

A.

Item 1 — create a provision. Selling the goods is the past event and the warranty is a legal obligation attached to it, so a present obligation exists. Across the population of sales an outflow is certain, not merely probable — the statistics show that about 5% of sales will produce a claim — and those same statistics make the amount reliably estimable as an expected value. All three conditions are met.

Item 2 — disclose by note only. The guarantee is a present obligation, but a liability arising under it is assessed as possible, not probable. The outflow test fails, so no provision is recognised and a contingent liability is disclosed. Had the likelihood been assessed as remote, the answer would have been no action at all.

The trap in this question is treating the warranty like the guarantee. Both involve an uncertain future payment, but a warranty over a large population of sales is a near-certain outflow of an uncertain amount, while a single guarantee is an uncertain outflow. It is the probability of the outflow that separates them, not the size of the uncertainty.

Provisions and contingencies (2)

Justina supplies fish to a local restaurant. In August 20X9 she supplied the restaurant with some shellfish, and she has now heard that some of the restaurant's customers have suffered attacks of food poisoning. The restaurant has claimed that this is because of Justina's shellfish, and has commenced a legal action against her.

Algirdas, a solicitor who specialises in food-poisoning cases, has advised Justina that she has a 42% chance of losing the case, and that if she does lose she will probably have to pay $300,000 to settle the liability.

What is the nature of Justina's liability, if any, and how should it be treated in her financial statements for the year ended 31 August 20X9?

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Provisions and contingencies (2)

If Justina has a 42% chance of losing, she has a 58% chance of winning. It is therefore not probable that she will have to pay: the outflow condition fails at the >50% test, and no provision is appropriate.

There is, however, a possible obligation arising from a past event — the supply of the shellfish — whose existence will be confirmed only by the court's decision, which is not within Justina's control. That is a contingent liability, and it is disclosed.

The disclosure covers:

  • the nature of the contingent liability — the supply of the shellfish and the legal action outstanding;

  • an estimate of its financial effect — $300,000;

  • an indication of the uncertainties about the amount or timing of any outflow — that the case is undecided and its outcome depends on evidence about the cause of the illness.

Note that 42% is deliberately just under a half. Had the solicitor said 58%, every part of the answer would change: present obligation, probable outflow, reliable estimate — a provision of $300,000.

6 Contingent assets

Contingent asset

A possible asset arising from past events, whose existence will be confirmed only by the occurrence or non-occurrence of one or more uncertain future events not wholly within the entity's control.

The same situation, with the roles reversed: the entity is the one suing. The treatment, however, is not the mirror image, and that asymmetry is the most examinable point in this part of the chapter. It exists because recognising a gain that may never arrive overstates both profit and net assets, while failing to recognise a liability that may arrive understates both — so the standard sets a higher bar for the asset.

Likelihood

An outflow (liability side)

An inflow (asset side)

Virtually certain

Recognise a provision (or, if the amount and timing are certain, an ordinary liability)

Recognise the asset — it is no longer contingent

Probable (more likely than not)

Recognise a provision

Disclose as a contingent asset

Possible (not probable)

Disclose as a contingent liability

No action

Remote

No action

No action

Contingent asset

A business has a reporting date of 31 December, and inventory worth $100,000 was stolen just before that date. The business has made a claim on its insurance, and the insurers have said that it is probable the full amount will be reimbursed, but no further confirmation has been received.

An inflow is probable but not virtually certain, so the asset is not recognised. The business discloses a contingent asset in the notes, describing the claim and estimating its financial effect at $100,000.

Once the insurers confirm the amount and the date of payment, receipt is virtually certain. At that point it is no longer a contingent asset at all: it is recognised as a receivable, with the credit going to profit or loss.

7 Specific applications

7.1 Future operating losses

No provision may be made for future operating losses. They arise from future trading, so there is no past event and therefore no present obligation. An expectation of future losses is instead an indicator of impairment of the assets of the operation concerned, which is an IAS 36 question.

7.2 Repairs and maintenance

For the same reason, no provision is made for the cost of future repairs, overhauls or refurbishment of the entity's own assets — even where the expenditure is unavoidable in practice, because the entity could avoid it by selling the asset. There is no obligation to anyone else. Where a major overhaul is a condition of continuing to operate an asset, the cost is dealt with by depreciating that element of the asset separately (IAS 16), not by building a provision.

7.3 Onerous contracts

Onerous contract

A contract in which the unavoidable costs of meeting the obligations under it exceed the economic benefits expected to be received under it.

The present obligation under an onerous contract is recognised and measured as a provision. The unavoidable cost is the lower of the cost of fulfilling the contract and any compensation or penalties arising from failing to fulfil it — the entity is assumed to take whichever escape route is cheapest, so it can never be worse off than that.

The cost of fulfilling a contract comprises the costs that relate directly to it: the incremental costs of fulfilling it, plus an allocation of other costs that relate directly to fulfilling it. Before recognising an onerous-contract provision, the entity first recognises any impairment loss on assets dedicated to that contract.

A lease is not an onerous contract question. IAS 37 excludes leases from its scope, so a lessee with a loss-making lease does not provide for it — the right-of-use asset is tested for impairment under IAS 36 instead (Chapter 5 covers IFRS 16). Older material still gives "a non-cancellable operating lease" as the standard example of an onerous contract; since IFRS 16 that is wrong. Supply, purchase and service contracts are the live examples.

Onerous contract

Daiva has a contract to buy 900 metres of cloth each month for $7 per metre. From each 3 metres of cloth she can make a dress which she can sell for $30. She also incurs labour costs of $4 per dress. Alternatively she can sell the cloth immediately for $6.25 per metre.

If she gives notice to end the cloth purchase contract she must give 2 months' notice. If instead she cancels without notice she must pay a cancellation penalty of $700 for each of the next two months.

In December 20X9 the market price of dresses fell to $22, and Daiva is considering ceasing production because she believes the market will not improve.

  1. Is there a present obligation?

  2. What will appear in respect of the contract in Daiva's financial statements for the year ended 31 December 20X9?

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Onerous contract

1 Yes — a legal obligation under the purchase contract. Daiva is committed to two more months of cloth however she proceeds, either by taking the cloth during the notice period or by paying to get out of the contract.

2 The contract is onerous, so a provision is recognised at the lowest unavoidable net cost of the three courses open to her:

Give notice and keep producing $

Give notice and sell the cloth on $

Cancel now without notice $

Cloth (2 × 900 metres × $7)

12,600

12,600

–

Labour (2 × 300 dresses × $4)

2,400

–

–

Cancellation penalty (2 × $700)

–

–

1,400

Total cost

15,000

12,600

1,400

Less proceeds (2 × 300 dresses × $22)

(13,200)

–

–

Less proceeds (2 × 900 metres × $6.25)

–

(11,250)

–

Net unavoidable cost

1,800

1,350

1,400

The cheapest way out is to give notice, take the two months of cloth and sell it on unworked, at a net cost of $1,350. That is the unavoidable loss, so a provision of $1,350 is recognised, charged to profit or loss.

The notes explain the circumstances and the uncertainties over the timing, the amounts and the assumptions used.

Note what the $30 original selling price does in this question: nothing. The contract was profitable when it was signed, which is why Daiva entered into it, but an onerous contract is assessed on today's expected costs and benefits.

7.4 Restructuring

A restructuring is a programme planned and controlled by management that materially changes either the scope of the business or the manner in which it is conducted. Typical examples:

  • the sale or termination of a line of business;

  • the closure of business locations, or the relocation of activities from one country or region to another;

  • changes in management structure — for example removing a layer of management;

  • fundamental reorganisations that have a material effect on the nature and focus of the entity's operations.

A restructuring creates a constructive obligation only when the entity has both:

  1. a detailed formal plan identifying at least the business or part of the business concerned, the principal locations affected, the location, function and approximate number of employees who will be compensated for terminating their services, the expenditure that will be undertaken and when the plan will be implemented; and

  2. raised a valid expectation in those affected that it will carry the restructuring out, by starting to implement the plan or announcing its main features to them.

A restructuring provision includes only the direct expenditures arising from the restructuring, which are those both necessarily entailed by it and not associated with the ongoing activities of the entity. It therefore excludes the cost of retraining or relocating continuing staff, marketing, and investment in new systems and distribution networks — all of which relate to how the business will be run in future.

Restructuring

On 18 August 20X7 the directors of Paulius decided to close the Kaunas factory.

  1. Assuming that no steps were taken to implement the decision and that it was not communicated to any of those affected by the reporting date of 31 August 20X7, what is the appropriate accounting treatment?

  2. What would be the appropriate accounting treatment for the closure if a detailed plan had been agreed by the board on 26 August 20X7, letters had been sent notifying suppliers, and the workforce in Kaunas had been sent redundancy notices?

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Restructuring

1 No provision. There is neither a legal nor a constructive obligation, because no obligating event has yet occurred. The directors could still change their minds and keep the Kaunas factory open, and nobody outside the boardroom has been given any reason to expect otherwise. A decision alone is an intention, not an obligation.

2 A provision is recognised. There is now a detailed formal plan, and its effect has been communicated to suppliers and to the workforce, so Paulius has raised a valid expectation in those affected that the closure will happen. That is a constructive obligation arising from a past event, with a probable outflow. The provision is measured at the best estimate of the direct costs of closing the factory — the redundancy payments and the other costs necessarily entailed by the closure — and excludes anything relating to the group's continuing activities, such as retraining or relocating staff who will keep their jobs elsewhere.

The two parts differ by eight days and by one act of communication. That act is the whole answer.

8 Disclosure

For each class of provision, an entity discloses a reconciliation of the carrying amount from the beginning to the end of the period — additions, amounts used, unused amounts reversed and the increase from the unwinding of the discount — together with a brief description of the nature of the obligation, the expected timing of the outflow, the uncertainties about the amount or timing, and the amount of any expected reimbursement.

For a contingent liability that is not remote, and for a contingent asset whose inflow is probable, the entity gives a brief description and, where practicable, an estimate of the financial effect.

There is one narrow escape. In extremely rare cases, disclosing some or all of this information could seriously prejudice the entity's position in a dispute with the other party. The entity may then omit it — but it must still disclose the general nature of the dispute, together with the fact that, and the reason why, the information has not been disclosed. Silence is not an option; only detail may be withheld.

9 Where this appears under IFRS 18

IFRS 18 Presentation and Disclosure in Financial Statements replaces IAS 1 for accounting periods beginning on or after 1 January 2027. Recognition and measurement are unchanged — provisions are still IAS 37, and no amount in this chapter moves.

Presentation, though, splits a discounted provision in two. The expense of creating or increasing the provision is an operating item, so it sits in the operating category, above the required subtotal *operating profit*. The unwinding of the discount is an interest effect on a liability, so it sits in the financing category, below the subtotal *profit before financing and income taxes*.

That is a marking point, and Example 1 is the shape of the question. HR Co's $450,000 and its $22,500 do not sit together under IFRS 18: the $450,000 is an operating expense and the $22,500 is a financing cost. Under IAS 1 both could have appeared in whatever lines the preparer chose. Under IFRS 18 the split is required, and getting the unwinding into operating would understate operating profit by $22,500.

IAS 37 stops provisions being used to smooth profits. A provision — a liability of uncertain timing or amount — is recognised only where there is a present obligation (legal or constructive) from a past event, a probable outflow, and a reliable estimate; it is measured at the best estimate, which is the most likely outcome for a single obligation and the expected value for a large population, discounted where material, with the unwinding charged as a finance cost. Fail any of the three conditions and you have a contingent liability: disclosed, never recognised, and not even disclosed if the outflow is remote. The asset side is deliberately not a mirror image — a contingent asset is disclosed when an inflow is probable and recognised only when it is virtually certain. No provision is ever made for future operating losses or for the entity's own future repairs, because neither has a past event behind it; an onerous contract is provided for at the lower of the cost of fulfilling it and the penalty for not doing so; and a restructuring provision waits for a detailed formal plan and a valid expectation raised in those affected — a board decision on its own is not enough.

10 Test your knowledge

Practice questions

IAS 37 Provisions, contingent assets and liabilities

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