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AFMPassmore co

MMAHEK_BAFNA20d ago

Hi everyone,

I have a doubt regarding the futures hedging treatment in the Passmore Co question in AFM.

The model answer states that we should “sell September futures.” However, I am trying to understand the logic behind the direction of the hedge.

Since the transaction involves receiving a fixed amount in rupees, I am confused about whether we should be buying or selling futures initially and then closing the position later.

For example, if we consider an exchange rate of $1 = ₹70, which subsequently changes to $1 = ₹75, how should we interpret the movement and determine the correct futures position? Should we sell September futures now and buy them back later, or should we buy futures now and sell them later?

I would appreciate it if someone could explain the logic behind the model answer and clarify how the underlying exposure determines the direction of the futures hedge.

Thank you!

John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor20d ago#1

Given that they are receiving rupees and so need to sell them to convert to $'s, they will sell rupee futures.

The logic and reason for this is explained in my free lectures on exchange rate futures.

MMAHEK_BAFNA19d ago#2

But the futures market is different from the spot market?

John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor19d ago#3

Yes it is separate. We use futures to hedge against the risk of movements in the spot rate. Again, do watch our free lectures.

edited
MMAHEK_BAFNA16d ago#4

I have watched the relevant free lecture.Just one clarification,the confusion here stemmed from the fact that the quitoation(R/$) does not have contract currency as the base currency.Once we do that(express the contract currency as base currency-$/R for a revised quotation),the results are consistent with the model answer.Can you please establish the link more clearly?

John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor15d ago#5

The contract size is quoted in Rupees and so because the underlying transaction involves selling Rupees, we will sell Rupee futures in order to hedge the risk.