Hi Sir, Hope you are well.
I wanted to ask that when we find trend values using moving averages. How i supposed to know how many month averages should be calculates.
Like, in open tution lectures, 4 months avrages were calculated and after that 2 averaged values were averaged again.
But while i trying to solve Textbook illustrations , in solution they used 3 months averages. And they didn't do re-average.
I was confused by this.
Thank you
Ask the Tutor ACCA MA
MOVING AVG
Questions make it clear over what periods the seasonality occurs.
If you can given the figures for periods of 3 months, then because there are four 3 monthly periods in a year we take a 4 period moving average.
If the figures are given for periods of four months, then because there are three 4 month periods in a year we take a 3 period moving average.
And so on.
When it comes to centering the averages, if we have taken 4 period moving averages then we need to then take a second average to centre them. If on the other hand we have taken 3 period moving averages then the averages are already in the centre and we do not need to take a second average.
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