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Calculation of provision

Ttrainee17y ago
Dear tutor, I am confused about the calculation of provision when there is a single obligation. Suppose there is a court case and with the probability of 40% we have to pay $1M and with probability of 60% we have to pay $3M. Now the provision amount is th expected amount = 1 × 40% + 3 × 60% = $2.2 M Or it is the most likely outcome = $3 M ?? Would you please help me on the above matter? Thank you very much
PP2-D2Tutor7y ago#1
Hi, It is a single obligation, where we will pay either $1m or $3m. We aren't going to pay anything in between, so we go with the most likely scenario and in this case it is the $3m. We will therefore make a provision for $3m. Thanks
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