Market segmentation theory
Borrowers and investors may prefer particular maturities because of liabilities, investment mandates or funding needs and may not readily substitute across them. Demand for long-dated assets from pension funds, for example, can affect long yields differently from short money-market rates. The theory offers a different emphasis from pure expectations, though real markets can reflect several influences at once. It does not imply there is never any arbitrage or substitution between maturities. Assess the investor and borrower behaviour underlying a proposed explanation of the curve.
Worked example
Strong demand for long-dated bonds from institutions matching long-term liabilities can push their prices up and yields down even if short-term policy rates are unchanged.
Common mistake
Explaining every maturity's yield solely by expected future short rates while ignoring maturity-specific demand and supply.
Where it appears in your exams
| Qualification | Exam | Relationship | Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACCA | AFM | Supporting | September 2026–June 2027 |
| ACCA | FM | Direct | September 2026–June 2027 |
