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Convexity

Modified duration is a linear approximation, while a bond's actual price-yield relationship is generally curved. For a conventional option-free fixed-cash-flow bond with positive convexity, a yield fall raises price more than an equal-sized yield rise lowers it. A common second-order approximation is ΔP/P ≈ −D_modified×Δy + 0.5×convexity×(Δy)², with consistently defined units. Embedded options can alter convexity and may produce negative convexity. Current AFM requires discussion of convexity's effect; the final SCF guide explicitly refers to convexity metrics, so exam depth must be separately mapped.

Worked example

With modified duration 5 and convexity 30 under a compatible annual-yield convention, a 1 percentage point yield rise gives approximate change −5×0.01 + 0.5×30×0.01² = −4.85%, compared with the duration-only estimate of −5%.

Common mistake

Assuming the straight-line duration estimate is exact for large yield changes, or applying convexity units inconsistent with the yield convention.

Where it appears in your exams

QualificationExamRelationshipPeriod
ACCA AFM Direct September 2026–June 2027