Convexity
Modified duration is a linear approximation, while a bond's actual price-yield relationship is generally curved. For a conventional option-free fixed-cash-flow bond with positive convexity, a yield fall raises price more than an equal-sized yield rise lowers it. A common second-order approximation is ΔP/P ≈ −D_modified×Δy + 0.5×convexity×(Δy)², with consistently defined units. Embedded options can alter convexity and may produce negative convexity. Current AFM requires discussion of convexity's effect; the final SCF guide explicitly refers to convexity metrics, so exam depth must be separately mapped.
Worked example
With modified duration 5 and convexity 30 under a compatible annual-yield convention, a 1 percentage point yield rise gives approximate change −5×0.01 + 0.5×30×0.01² = −4.85%, compared with the duration-only estimate of −5%.
Common mistake
Assuming the straight-line duration estimate is exact for large yield changes, or applying convexity units inconsistent with the yield convention.
Where it appears in your exams
| Qualification | Exam | Relationship | Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| ACCA | AFM | Direct | September 2026–June 2027 |
