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Kaplan kit (Market efficiency)

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Kaplan kit (Market efficiency)

  • This topic has 7 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 1 year ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 8 posts - 1 through 8 (of 8 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • December 3, 2021 at 12:46 am #642353
    poqipi11
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 9
    • ☆

    An investor, who bases all his investment decisions on information he has gathered from
    published statements and comments on company plans and performance, is acting as if he
    believed that the maximum level of efficiency of the capital market is ……………. form
    efficient

    Hi, from what i understand shouldn’t the answer be not efficient at all?
    Because if the answer believe he can make extra gain (my assumption on the basis of his reason to do technical analysis) by studying past data then he acts as if market is not efficient at all because the past data would already be incorporated into the share prices in weak form of efficiency.

    The offical answer is weak form

    December 3, 2021 at 8:49 am #642373
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 51538
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    The answer is weak form because past information is indeed already reflected in the share price but cannot be used as an indicator of what will happen to the share price in the future because this depends on expectations of what will happen in the future.
    So weak form is the maximum level of efficiency that could be the case here.

    December 3, 2021 at 11:44 am #642383
    poqipi11
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 9
    • ☆

    Sir I still don’t get it, there’s a similar question in bpp :

    Sarah decides to plot past share price movements to help spot patterns and create an
    investment strategy.
    What does Sarah believe the stock market is?

    The answer here is completely inefficient

    Is the key here the wording?

    December 3, 2021 at 3:04 pm #642406
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 51538
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Yes it is the wording.

    Note that in the first question it asks for the maximum level of efficiency.

    In the second question Sarah is simply plotting past share price movements and not studying published statements etc..

    December 3, 2021 at 9:21 pm #642431
    poqipi11
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 9
    • ☆

    I’m sorry for taking more time from you but to clear my concept if she was studying published statements (past information incorporated in share price) and the question would simply ask for the efficiency assumed by the investor, then it would be an inefficient market right?

    December 4, 2021 at 9:15 am #642466
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 51538
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    It would be more likely to be inefficient, yes 🙂

    December 4, 2021 at 6:50 pm #642517
    sadafwaheed1
    Member
    • Topics: 79
    • Replies: 29
    • ☆☆

    Sir sorry to interrupt in this but can you explain me why will it be” inefficient” in the sarah’s question if she has studied the published information in the last reply . ?studying past information will mean market is weak form right ?
    whats then the difference between the very first question and this sarah question with studying published information?

    December 5, 2021 at 8:10 am #642555
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 51538
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    I wrote that it would be more likely. The original question asked what the maximum level would be and it would be weak for the reasons I replied 🙂
    Sarah’s latest post said just published statements (i.e. accounts), whereas the original post included comments on plans and performance.

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