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Time series

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA MA – FIA FMA › Time series

  • This topic has 7 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 8 posts - 1 through 8 (of 8 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • July 8, 2015 at 9:07 pm #260247
    rkwasim
    Member
    • Topics: 7
    • Replies: 28
    • ☆

    Hey John,
    Could you help me out to solve following question. Thanks
    The following data represents a time series: X 36 Y 41 34 38 42
    A series of three point moving averages produced from this data has given the first two values as 38 and
    39.
    What are the values of (X, Y) in the original time series?
    A (38, 39) B (38, 40) C (40, 38) D (39, 38)

    July 8, 2015 at 9:22 pm #260252
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54696
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Where did you find this question?
    And if you have the question why do you not have the answer?

    As it is written, the question makes no sense at all.

    Everything you need for the exam on time series (and on all the topics) is covered in our free lectures.

    July 8, 2015 at 9:35 pm #260253
    rkwasim
    Member
    • Topics: 7
    • Replies: 28
    • ☆

    Hey John,
    Thanks for quick reply but this question is in BPP exam kit chapter 14. Following is the answer on book.

    X = 38 and Y = 40
    X + 36 + Y = 38
    3
    36 + Y + 41 = 39
    3
    Y = (3 × 39) – 36 – 41 = 40 X + 36 + 40 = 38
    3
    X = (38 × 3) – 36 – 40 = 38

    July 9, 2015 at 8:27 am #260273
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54696
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Well it still seems a remarkably silly question to me 🙂

    July 9, 2015 at 1:59 pm #260327
    rkwasim
    Member
    • Topics: 7
    • Replies: 28
    • ☆

    Thanks John for your help.

    July 9, 2015 at 6:08 pm #260424
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54696
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂
    (although I was not much help!!)

    August 5, 2015 at 8:41 am #265590
    Aayisha
    Member
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 1
    • ☆

    Hello Sir!
    Can you please help me out with the question 1 of test from chapter 19 which is related to time series.

    Thank You!

    Question for your reference:

    In a time series analysis, the additive model is used to forecast sales and the following seasonal variations
    apply:

    Quarter 1 2 3 4
    Seasonal variation: +5.8 -8.4 +10.2 ?

    The seasonal variation for quarter 4 is:

    A +7.6
    B -8.1
    C -7.6
    D +8.1

    August 5, 2015 at 8:47 am #265597
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54696
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Two things:

    Firstly, the answers are at the end of the lecture notes.

    Secondly, I do suggest that you watch the free lecture. You will find there that the seasonal variations must add up to zero (if using the additive model). Therefore since we know three of them, then the fourth must be whatever makes all four add up to zero.

    (The notes are not meant to be used without the lectures. It is in the lectures that we explain and expand upon the notes.)

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