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Sensitivity

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Sensitivity

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by AvatarJohn Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • September 7, 2016 at 9:53 am #338518
    Avataracca9
    Member
    • Topics: 68
    • Replies: 50
    • ☆☆

    ACB co is appraising a project with an initial investment of $1 million that will generate net cash inflows after tax of $150, 000 per annum indefinitely. ACB co estimates its cost of capital at 12%.

    What is ACB’s percentage sensitivity to their estimate of a 12% cost of capital?
    3%
    15%
    25%
    20%

    When i follow their workings i understand how the answer is 25%. However when i do my own workings the way i usually do it it does not come out right.
    The way i do it is as follows, please show me where i am going wrong:

    (1/12%*150000)-1000000= 250000

    using 20% to compare:
    (1/20%*150000)-1000000=-250000

    IRR=
    12%+ (250000/500000*8%)=16%

    (16%-12%)/12%=33.3%

    ????

    September 7, 2016 at 11:02 am #338548
    AvatarJohn Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54838
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You have calculated the IRR by making two ‘guesses’. That is what we usually do, but making two guesses only ever gives an approximate answer because the relationship is not linear.

    Here, because it is a perpetuity, you do not need to make two guesses because you can calculate the IRR precisely.

    It is exactly 150,000/1,000,000 = 15%, and therefore the sensitivity is indeed 25%.

    September 7, 2016 at 11:07 am #338553
    Avataracca9
    Member
    • Topics: 68
    • Replies: 50
    • ☆☆

    Oh wow…. i never thought of that!
    Thanks for your help!!!!

    September 7, 2016 at 11:12 am #338556
    AvatarJohn Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54838
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂

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