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Risk & Uncertainity chapter 8 example 1

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA APM Exams › Risk & Uncertainity chapter 8 example 1

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 6 years ago by Ken Garrett.
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  • July 23, 2018 at 9:20 pm #464401
    kkhatani
    Member
    • Topics: 43
    • Replies: 14
    • ☆☆

    Hi,

    Are the probablities being mentioned just for the normal customer or the total amount to be expected from both parties? I don’t understand why we calculate the expected values or the pay-off matrix by adding both the contracted customer quanities and amounts and add on the normal customer quanties and contribution. I was expecting to use the probablitiy of the normal customer and then add on to the fixed contracted price of the contract customer. Please advise.

    Thanks

    July 23, 2018 at 9:37 pm #464403
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10591
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    They are for normal customers. The contracted amounts are constant at whatever the contracted amount is. Both types of customer need to be taken into account because the contracted amounts take precedence over normal customers which means that sales to normal customers often have to be less than demanded by normal customers.

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