Forums › ACCA Forums › ACCA AFM Advanced Financial Management Forums › real option calculation Penn co
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misbahkiran.
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- July 31, 2019 at 10:53 am #525714
Hi friends
Has anyone of you done the calculation of real options in this technical article?
here is the link of the article
i am little confused on the real option calculation
its not given in the article please tell me am i right?
OPTION to abandon after 2 years= Put option
Pe=offer from Elders co $1,200million
Pa=value of the asset, Pv of cash flows forgone (319.01+191.13+684.41=1194.55million)
standard deviation= 30 percent
t= 2years
r=4.5%N(d1)= -.022 =0.5-.0080=.492
N(d2)=.446=.5+.1736=.6763call option= -570 (i have doubt on this value..what does negative value mean?)
put option=625$NpV is 146.13 but put option is 625$ so the strategic value will be
625+146=771
project has positive NPV so if we abandon it after 2 years it still give us value of 625$ which is more than the NPV of 5 years.
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