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AFMP4 - Dec 2011, Q2b

Bbrithel112y ago
Hello I need help on the calculation of the number of futures contracts. To be precise, I wish u know why 5/3 was used and how it came about. The same goes to the calculation of unexpired basis using the fraction 2/6. Thanks
John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor12y ago#1
Have you watched my lecture on this? Futures are always what are called '3 month futures' which means that when the profit or loss is calculated, it is calculate as though it is 3 month interest. In order to protect ourselves for the interest on a loan lasting 5 months, we have to deal in more futures. So the amount of futures that we deal in is always the amount of the loan x (length of loan / 3). With regard to the 2/6 - it is not 'unexpired'. It is because we assume that the basis falls linearly to zero over the life of the future. So, if the future finishes in 6 months time, then the basis will fall by 1/6 of the current basis each month. If we intend to finish the futures deal 2 months before the date on which the future finished, then the basis will be 2/6 of the current basis. My lecture on this works through a complete example and explains both bits above in detail.
Bbrithel112y ago#2
Thanks a lot.That was really helpful.
John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor12y ago#3
You are welcome :-)
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