- This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 8 years ago by .
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
- The topic ‘P3 Test (Test question No 03 of Chapter 4)’ is closed to new replies.
OpenTuition recommends the new interactive BPP books for March 2025 exams.
Get your discount code >>
Forums › Ask CIMA Tutor Forums › Ask CIMA P3 Tutor Forums › P3 Test (Test question No 03 of Chapter 4)
Dear Ken Garrett,
Question
A portfolio of shares has a mean value of $10m with a daily standard deviation of $1m.
To the 99% confidence level, what is the value at risk over 9 days?
Answer
Std deviation over 9 days is $1m x square root of 9 = $3m
The z value for the 1/49 split is 2.33
Therefore there is only a 1% chance that the value of the portfolio will be 2.33 x 3 = 7.
Therefore there is a 99% chance that the value of the portfolio will be at
least $3m (= 10 – 7)
The above answer $ 3m is given by you. But your test answer is $ 7.00 Which one is correct?
B/regards,
Phuong
The VAR is what you risk losing. Here it is 7m. If you start with 10 and risk losing 7 you risk being left with only 3.
(The sentence above should have said that there is only a 1% chance of the value falling by more,than 7m)