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P1 Risk And uncertainty

Forums › CIMA Forums › P1 Risk And uncertainty

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 7 years ago by AvatarCath.
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  • April 18, 2019 at 11:17 am #513376
    Avatarqinisocele
    Member
    • Topics: 1
    • Replies: 0
    • ☆

    In exercise 2 in the Open tuition pack in this section, the EV of each outcome is calculated by applying the probability of demand to the sum of the contribution from the contract and regular demand. Why do we not only multiply the regular demand sales by the probability seeing as the contract sales will be fixed regardless and will not be affected by the probability of different demand levels?

    April 19, 2019 at 4:28 pm #513523
    AvatarCath
    Participant
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 448
    • ☆☆☆

    Hi,
    Thanks for your post.
    Im not quite sure what you mean – however, this example is worked through in our video series:

    https://opentuition.com/cima/cima-p1/cima-p1-risk-uncertainty-expected-values/

    I hope this helps
    Many Thanks
    Cath

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