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Open tuition notes, chapter 7, ex1

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA APM Exams › Open tuition notes, chapter 7, ex1

  • This topic has 4 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 10 years ago by Ken Garrett.
Viewing 5 posts - 1 through 5 (of 5 total)
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    Posts
  • October 16, 2014 at 8:13 am #204557
    lsoltobaeva
    Member
    • Topics: 38
    • Replies: 72
    • ☆☆

    Please explain the a) answer to example 1?
    How 2900 is calculated (at 400u demand and 300u contract?)

    October 16, 2014 at 9:20 am #204565
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10587
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    1,200 units can be made max.

    If 300 contracted to special customer: profit = 300 x (9 – 6) = 900

    400 demanded from outside can still be made and sold . Profit = 400 x (11 – 6) = 2000

    Total profit = 2,900

    At the other extreme, 900 demanded but 800 contracted.

    800 x (9 – 6) = 2,400

    only 400 of the 900 demanded can be supplied because maximum production= 1,200

    Profit = 400 x (11 – 6) = 2,000

    Total profit = 4,400

    October 17, 2014 at 6:09 am #204689
    lsoltobaeva
    Member
    • Topics: 38
    • Replies: 72
    • ☆☆

    THANKS!

    October 17, 2014 at 7:52 am #204695
    lsoltobaeva
    Member
    • Topics: 38
    • Replies: 72
    • ☆☆

    Another question regarding minimal regret.
    In this example they Compare the worst regrets for each option. And get the least worst regret as an answer.
    If I follow the method per Emily Wolf study book, I would sum up all regret amounts for each option and pick the least total regret. I came up with the same answer as in open tuition answer but still wonder which is best?
    Their answer is contract 700 units with least regret of 800.
    My solution:
    Is the same 700 units but total regret for this option would be 1,500.
    And 3,300 for 300units
    1,900 for 500 units
    1,800 for 800 units.

    Please give advice.

    October 17, 2014 at 8:53 am #204698
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10587
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You should not sum regrets. Summing regrets implies that all are equally likely to occur. In effect you are doing a kind of expected value where the expected value would be the average of the outcomes. The point of using maximin, minimax regret etc is that you do NOT know the probabilities of each occurring.

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