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multiplicative seasonal variations

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA PM Exams › multiplicative seasonal variations

  • This topic has 5 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 9 months ago by LMR1006.
Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • August 24, 2024 at 11:21 am #710270
    IqmalKhushairi
    Participant
    • Topics: 21
    • Replies: 8
    • ☆

    The sales revenue trend for Helic Co for 20×1-20×3 has been calculated as follows:

    Year Season Season number Sales Revenue Trend (4 season moving average)
    20×1 Spring 1 86
    Summer 2 120
    Autumn 3 90 92.75
    Winter 4 70 95.75
    20×2 Spring 5 96 98.25
    Summer 6 134 100.00
    Autumn 7 96 102.50
    Winter 8 78 106.25
    20×3 Spring 9 108 109.50
    Summer 10 152 111.50
    Autumn 11
    Winter 12

    Calculate the multiplicative seasonal variations (to four decimal places) and determine the Sales
    Revenue for Autumn and Winter season in 20×3

    ive got how to the seasonal variations which is the sales revenue/trend, but I still cant find the answer for sales revenue for autumn and winter season in 20×3

    August 24, 2024 at 12:20 pm #710273
    LMR1006
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1494
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Where is this question from?

    August 24, 2024 at 2:19 pm #710279
    LMR1006
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1494
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    From what you have given me
    To calculate the multiplicative seasonal variation for each season in 20×1-20×3, divide the actual sales revenue by the corresponding trend:

    Autumn 20×1: 90 / 92.75 = 0.9709
    Winter 20×1: 70 / 95.75 = 0.7306
    Spring 20×2: 96 / 98.25 = 0.9778
    Summer 20×2: 134 / 100.00 = 1.3400

    Autumn 20×2: 96 / 102.50 = 0.9376
    Winter 20×2: 78 / 106.25 = 0.7341
    Spring 20×3: 108 / 109.50 = 0.9854
    Summer 20×3: 152 / 111.50 = 1.3638

    To determine the sales revenue for the Autumn and Winter seasons in 20×3, multiply the trend for each season by the corresponding multiplicative seasonal variation.

    August 25, 2024 at 5:58 am #710304
    IqmalKhushairi
    Participant
    • Topics: 21
    • Replies: 8
    • ☆

    i got this from an exam paper in my university that i have not gotten any answer scheme for it

    August 25, 2024 at 6:01 am #710306
    IqmalKhushairi
    Participant
    • Topics: 21
    • Replies: 8
    • ☆

    is by this u mean
    autumn 0.9709*0.9376
    winter 0.7306*0.7341

    from here how will i get the answer for 20×3 autumn and winter? how do i calculate the sales revenue for it?

    August 25, 2024 at 7:24 am #710309
    LMR1006
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1494
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    It is not my job to answer Uni questions
    I would say average the sv
    Start with the last true forecasted growth
    Then adjust
    Unless you know the predictive growth?

    So add the average together then divide by 2 to get an average
    Then project going forwards

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