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- This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 7 years ago by John Moffat.
- AuthorPosts
- November 25, 2017 at 9:58 am #417921
Cement Co is a company specialising in the manufacture of cement, a product used in the building industry. The
company has found that when weather conditions are good, the demand for cement increases since more building
work is able to take place. Cement Co is now trying to work out the level of cement production for the coming year
in order to maximise profits. The company has received the following estimates about the probable weather conditions
and corresponding demand levels for the coming year:
Weather Probability Demand
Good 25% 350,000 bags
Average 45% 280,000 bags
Poor 30% 200,000 bags
Each bag of cement sells for $9 and costs $4 to make. If cement is unsold at the end of the year, it has to be disposed
of at a cost of $0·50 per bag. Cement Co has decided to produce at one of the three levels of production to match
forecast demand. It now has to decide which level of cement production to select.
Required:
(a) Construct a pay-off table to show all the possible profit outcomes. (8 marks)
(b) Determine the level of cement production the company should choose, based on the decision rule of Minimax regret. Show your calculations clearly and justify your decision.November 25, 2017 at 3:43 pm #417963There is no point in simply setting me a test question and expecting an answer. That is not what this website is here for.
You must have an answer in the same book in which you found the question, and so you should ask about whatever it is in the answer that you are unsure about – then I will help you.
I assume you have watched my free lectures on decision making under uncertainty.
The lectures are a complete free course for Paper F9 and cover everything needed to be able to pass the exam well. - AuthorPosts
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