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Keytone Co – BPP Kit Mock exam 4 (Q32)

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA PM Exams › Keytone Co – BPP Kit Mock exam 4 (Q32)

  • This topic has 7 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 1 year ago by IAW3005.
Viewing 8 posts - 1 through 8 (of 8 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • May 29, 2024 at 9:04 pm #706225
    Soosees29
    Participant
    • Topics: 16
    • Replies: 61
    • ☆☆

    Hi,

    I am looking at question called Keytone Co from the BPP Kit Mock exam 4 (Q32) which is to construct a payoff table. I understand how the workings of the payoff table in part (a) have been worked out, I am just confused with the “Expected value (EV) of profit $”.

    For 3000 units its $70,110 for 3500 units it’s $78,385 and for 4000 units is $77,545. Could you help me understand how this has been worked out please?

    Thanks

    May 29, 2024 at 11:53 pm #706226
    IAW3005
    Moderator
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1604
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    https://www.accaglobal.com/content/dam/acca/global/PDF-students/acca/f5/examinersreports/PM%20SD22%20Examiner%20Report.pdf

    Question 2 is Keytone
    Have a look at the examiners article
    Let me know if you still need help

    May 30, 2024 at 8:35 am #706237
    Soosees29
    Participant
    • Topics: 16
    • Replies: 61
    • ☆☆

    Hi, thanks I did read that article before posting my question. I still don’t understand how the “EVs of profit” have been worked out in the payoff table, could you help me please?

    May 30, 2024 at 12:47 pm #706251
    IAW3005
    Moderator
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1604
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    I will show you an example:

    SALES 102,300 (3000 * 34.10) SP – ADMIN = 35-0.9
    VC 30750 (3000 * 10.25) DM + LAB + VC = 6.2+2.7+1.35
    STE FC 1440 (3000/500 = 6 * 240)

    TOTAL MAX 3000 = 70110

    CAN YOU HAVE A LOOK AT IT AGAIN NOW

    May 30, 2024 at 2:33 pm #706254
    Soosees29
    Participant
    • Topics: 16
    • Replies: 61
    • ☆☆

    Thanks, I understand the payoff table workings it just the TOTAL of “Expected value (EV) of profit”

    I just don’t understand where those totals came from of 70,110, 78,385 and 77,545, have they used the probabilities or have they used an average? – Either way I just can’t get it to those amounts.

    May 30, 2024 at 4:21 pm #706261
    IAW3005
    Moderator
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1604
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You take the profit at Max positions
    Where supply equals demand
    That gives you 70110 for demand 3000; 81795 for 3500 and 85480 for 4000
    Then times by the probability gives you the EV with perfect information
    Compare to EV from part a

    May 30, 2024 at 6:07 pm #706262
    Soosees29
    Participant
    • Topics: 16
    • Replies: 61
    • ☆☆

    Thanks for your help 🙂

    May 30, 2024 at 11:24 pm #706270
    IAW3005
    Moderator
    • Topics: 4
    • Replies: 1604
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome

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