Hello,
In appendix iii) in the answers to question 1, the black-scholes model is used to price the option of being able to develop a follow on product "within 2 years".
So in the black-scholes equation T=2, and Pa is provided assuming positive cash flows begin in year 3.
But I'm a bit confused because if the option is to start "within" 2 years, then can't T be less than 2? And if the company chose to start development in year 1, then positive cash flows would start in year 2 which would mean Pa would be greater because there is less discounting? Or am I missing a reason why the follow on product can't be developed until year 2?
Thanks,
Stu
Ask the Tutor ACCA AFM
June 2012 Q1
What you say is correct.
However strictly the BS formulae only apply when there is a fixed date for exercising the option (a European option) and so we do not really have a choice but to assume it is exercised in 2 years time.
(Mind you, it would be a good point to mention in writing - it might get you a bonus mark :-)) )
Thank you John :-)
You are welcome :-)
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