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inquiry about chapter 26 of ‘Forecasting’

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA SBL Exams › inquiry about chapter 26 of ‘Forecasting’

  • This topic has 0 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated 14 years ago by myz2004.
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  • October 31, 2011 at 5:08 am #50282
    myz2004
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    • Topics: 5
    • Replies: 2
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    I have some inquires regarding ‘ Forecasting’of chapter 26.
    1) on page 92, ‘the trend adjusted for seasonal variations’ says: ‘ we could say that the trend has moved from 2702 to 2451 in 7 jumps , this is (2702-2451)/7=36/season.
    I want to say that figure 2702 can not be found from the above diagram, just 2720 can be found. Meanwhiel, (2720-2451)/7=38/season, not 36.

    2) on page 93, ‘Exponential smoothing’, the prediction for Q3/Yr3
    75%*2832+25%*2451=2736, the calculation based on last time’s actual resluts and last time’s predicted results.

    But for the prediction for Q4/Yr 3,
    75%*1920+25%*2737=2,124
    according to the explanation of ‘exponential smoothing’, the predicted results should be based on the last last time’s actual resluts and last time’s predicted results.

    I guess the prediction for Q4/Yr 3, should be:
    75%*2160+25%*2737=2304.

    Could anyone can help to have a look at these inquiries?

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