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forecasting

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA MA – FIA FMA › forecasting

  • This topic has 5 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 7 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • December 14, 2014 at 2:27 pm #220516
    archana
    Member
    • Topics: 24
    • Replies: 62
    • ☆☆

    A company uses regression analysis to establish a total cost equation for budgeting purposes.
    Data for the past four months is as follows:
    Month Total cost Quantity produced
    $’000 $’000
    1 57.5 1.25
    2 37.5 1.00
    3 45.0 1.50
    4 60.0 2.00
    200.0 5.75
    The gradient of the regression line is 17.14.
    What is the value of a?
    A 25.36
    B 48.56
    C 74.64
    D 101.45

    sir,here why dont we directly use y=a+bx to find the value of a..
    we have total cost Y=200, b=17.14, x=5.75

    December 14, 2014 at 3:04 pm #220532
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54829
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Apart from the fact that you need to divide the totals by 4 (to get the average) rather than use the totals themselves, that is exactly what you would be doing if you used the formula for a on the formula sheet!!

    If you used the totals instead of the averages you would get a = 101.45 which would obviously be wrong anyway (just try a = 101.45 for any of the months and it would give ridiculous answers).

    February 12, 2019 at 5:31 am #504835
    nadeeshaa
    Member
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 15
    • ☆

    If the regression equation (in $000) linking sales(Y) to advertising expenditure (X) is given by Y = 4000 + 12x , what is the forecast sales when $150,000 is spent on advertising,to the nearest $ ?

    The answer given is $5,800,000. Could you please explain me how that answer arrived?

    February 12, 2019 at 9:34 am #504861
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54829
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    The equation is given in $000.

    So you use x = 150 in the formula, which gives y = 5,800.

    This is the sales in thousands, so the forecast is 5,800 x 1,000 = 5,800,000

    February 12, 2019 at 4:08 pm #504914
    nadeeshaa
    Member
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 15
    • ☆

    Oh ! Thank you sir!

    February 12, 2019 at 5:32 pm #504932
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54829
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂

  • Author
    Posts
Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • The topic ‘forecasting’ is closed to new replies.

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