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Exponential Smoothing

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA SBL Exams › Exponential Smoothing

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 11 years ago by Ken Garrett.
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • May 6, 2014 at 4:14 pm #167658
    captmario
    Member
    • Topics: 59
    • Replies: 164
    • ☆☆☆

    Hello there, something is not right in notes of Exponential smoothing in Time series analysis.

    When calculating prediction for Quarter 3 of Year 3, it took 75% of last quarter’s actual and 75% of last quarter’s predicted

    75% x 2,832 + 25% 2,451 = 2,736

    However when calculating Quarter 4 of Year 4, rather then taking 75% actual (2160) of Quarter 3 and 25% of predicted Quarter 3, It took

    75% x 1,920 + 25% x 2,737 = 2,124

    1920 is actual of Quarter 4 and 2737 is Predicted of Quarter 3..

    Please clarify am i missing something here? Kinda confused

    May 6, 2014 at 4:40 pm #167665
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10648
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    I think it’s wrong. Don’t spend too much time on this subject.

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