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Firstly hats off to your work! Really may God bles you!
WRT – to the initial Expected value table@ Risk and uncertainity example, should we apply the probablity on the demand and keep the contract profit fixed, would that be a problem / incorrect?
For e.g, 300*3 = 900 + 400[(400*0.2)$5] = 1300, instead of 580?
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