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Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Expected value
Sir didn’t getting the below sentence mean
Expected values are more useful for repeat decision rather than one off
I guess you were exempt from Paper PM (was F5), because this is something examined a lot in PM.
Suppose the return from something is either 100 with a probability of 0.3 or 200 with a probability of 0.7.
The expected value is 170.
If the decision is only made once then the return will be 100 or it will be 200 – it will not be 170.
If it is done many times, then sometimes it will be 100 and sometimes it will be 200, but on average it will be 170.
