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dividend growth model for business valuation

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › dividend growth model for business valuation

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by John Moffat.
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  • November 28, 2016 at 12:19 pm #352140
    melonny05
    Participant
    • Topics: 27
    • Replies: 55
    • ☆☆

    I have been solving the GXG co june 2013, number 4 question for a day now and I don’t understand the DVM question. it looks easy tho. but I can’t answer it and I don’t understand the examiner’s answer. please help

    November 28, 2016 at 2:41 pm #352178
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54804
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    If the question had said that the dividend was 25c in 1 years time, then you would simply have used the formula to get the current market value. The only thing is that the Do(1+g) in the formula would have been 25c (not 25c x 1.04).
    This is because Do is the current dividend and therefore Do(1+g) would be the dividend in 1 years time.
    So….if the question had said that the dividend was 25c in 1 years time, the MV now would be 25 / (0.09 – 0.04) = 500c (or $5).

    However, everything in this question is identical to the above except that the dividend is 25c in 3 years time instead of 25c in 1 years time. So the dividends start 2 years later than normal (3 years – 1 year).

    So using the formula gives a value of 500c two years later as well – i.e. a value in 2 years time instead of a value now.

    So to get the value now, we need to discount the 500c for 2 years at the cost of equity of 9%, which gives a MV now of 421c ($4.21).

    (I have done it per share and would then have multiplied it by the number of shares, whereas the examiners answer uses the total dividends and gets the total MV of all the shares directly. It doesn’t matter which of the two ways you do it.)

    Hope that helps 🙂

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