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Current share price using DVM

AAnazuo6y ago
Hello John, this is MCQ 225 from the BPP (Sep '19 to Jun '20) kit. Cost of equity 10% Current year- no dividend Year 1- no dividend Year 2- $0.25 per share Year 3- $0.50 per share and increasing by 3% per year in subsequent years Solution from the kit: (0.826 x 0.5)/(0.1-0.03) + (0.25 x 0.826) = $6.11 per share. My solution, using open tuition notes as a guide: (0.5 x 1.03)/(0.1-0.03) x 0.826 + (0.25 x 0.826) = $6.28 per share What have I done wrong and why am I wrong?
John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor6y ago#1
You should not have multiplied the 0.5 by 1.03 in the first term in your equation. Then you would have arrived at the correct answer of $6.11 per share. The reason is that had the first of the growing dividends been in 1 years time, the formula would have given the PV 'now'. The term Do(1+g) is the current dividend plus 1 years growth and is therefore the dividend in 1 years time. Here, the first growing dividend is at time 3 instead of at time 1, and therefore the formula gives the PV two years later i.e. at time 2 (and so needs then to be discounted for 2 years). The term Do(1+g) is the dividend at time 3 instead of at time 1 and is therefore $0.50 (not $0.50 plus growth). You say that you have used our notes as a guide, but did you watch the free lectures that go with the notes (because I do explain this in the lectures). It is pointless to use the notes without watching the lectures - they are only lecture notes and it is in the lectures that I explain and expand on the notes.
AAnazuo6y ago#2
Yes, I watched the videos with the notes. I am talking about Chapter 15, page 78, example 7 of the notes. They calculated p2 as 20c(1.04)÷ 0.15-0.04 then, multiplied by 0.756. But with the BPP MCQ, they didn't multiply the dividend by the growth rate first. Please John kindly explain.
John MoffatJohn MoffatTutor6y ago#3
The alternative way is to do what you were doing. However using (0.5 x 1.03)/(0.1-0.03) would give the value in 3 years time of the dividends from time 4 onwards (because it is using the dividend at time 3 as being Do). So the answer would then need discounting for 3 years to get the PV (not 2 years). Having got the PV of the dividend from time 4 onwards, you then need to add on the PV of the dividend in 2 years time (which you have done correctly) and also add on the PV of the dividend of 0.50 in 3 years time. If you do that you will again end up with the same answer :-)
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