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Currency Futures

Forums › CIMA Forums › Currency Futures

  • This topic has 4 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 7 years ago by Ken Garrett.
Viewing 5 posts - 1 through 5 (of 5 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • March 10, 2019 at 4:56 pm #508936
    dsodha
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 13
    • ☆

    Why is it that the exchange rate at which the contract is open, is considered the lock-in rate? Please explain how is that the case.

    March 10, 2019 at 5:46 pm #508952
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10650
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    That’s the point of them.

    They are priced by the futures market near the current exchange rate and their price stays close to that rate.

    So if the exchange rate today were $US 1.3 = £1 then futures contracts would be priced near that. You could buy them for $1.3.

    If you were going to receive US$ later, but the rate had by then moved to $1.4 you would be
    out of pocket. However, the price of the futures would have moved to $1.4 and you could make a compensating profit on the futures (Sell at $1.4, bought at $1.3).

    March 10, 2019 at 6:21 pm #508959
    dsodha
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 13
    • ☆

    Thank you. It’s a bit clearer to me now.

    But refering in the example above, is $1.3 the lock in rate even if the hedge is not a perfect size one.

    March 10, 2019 at 8:05 pm #508965
    dsodha
    Participant
    • Topics: 18
    • Replies: 13
    • ☆

    Is it correct when I say that we can easily use the lock-in rate $1.3 to calculate the cost or receipt in pound with the hedge, but only when it is a perfect hedge

    March 11, 2019 at 11:19 am #509013
    Ken Garrett
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 10650
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    It is the best you can do if no other information is given in the question. Basis risk remains (ie the risk that the futures price does not move perfectly with the exchange rate).

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