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Calculating Future Spot Price for Options

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA AFM Exams › Calculating Future Spot Price for Options

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 4 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
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    Posts
  • February 6, 2021 at 10:17 am #609408
    jareerabedin
    Member
    • Topics: 91
    • Replies: 72
    • β˜†β˜†

    Dear Sir,
    I watched your lectures, and I have understood the majority of what you have explained, but there’s still one thing that i’m unsure about.

    In questions, Awan, Alecto & Wardegul the future spot prices/rates are given, in other words, the spot rate/price at the date of receipt or borrowing is given.

    But there are questions where that rate is NOT given, and therefore need to be calculated, such as in the question Casasophia. Here is where my doubt lies:

    Say the current spot rate 1.5 and the current future rate is 1.6. Since the current spot rate / price is lower than the current future rate / price, does this mean, that on the date of the transaction, the spot rate/ price will be lower than the future price on that date?

    So, is this the basis for the second formulae you mentioned in the classroom, where:

    Future’s price on transaction date = Current futures rate / price + or – the unexpired basis.

    My question is basically, in the above formula should it be a “+” if current future rate/price is higher than current spot rate/price and should it be a “-” if current future rate/price is lower than current spot rate/price?

    Thank you πŸ™‚

    February 6, 2021 at 11:53 am #609429
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†

    The futures price and the spot rate will get closer together over time, and whichever is the higher at the moment will always be the higher.

    This will tell you whether you need to ‘+’ or ‘-‘ the unexpired basis πŸ™‚

    February 6, 2021 at 12:11 pm #609433
    jareerabedin
    Member
    • Topics: 91
    • Replies: 72
    • β˜†β˜†

    So basically,

    “My question is basically, in the above formula should it be a β€œ+” if current future rate/price is higher than current spot rate/price and should it be a β€œ-” if current future rate/price is lower than current spot rate/price?”

    The above statement is correct right?

    Thank you so much sir

    February 6, 2021 at 5:07 pm #609457
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†β˜†

    Correct πŸ™‚

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  • The topic ‘Calculating Future Spot Price for Options’ is closed to new replies.

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