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Bpp( expected value of npv )

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Bpp( expected value of npv )

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • March 5, 2017 at 10:37 am #375699
    seista
    Member
    • Topics: 39
    • Replies: 11
    • ☆☆

    Bpp mock 1… page no 174.. question 7 (mcq)..
    Sir in the answer part the total cash flow is as follows
    36000
    14000
    32000
    10000
    16000
    (6000)
    Sir can u please explain how they have come up with these total cash flows.. i understand 36000 (16000+20000)
    But i dont understand how did they arrive at the rest of cashflows

    March 5, 2017 at 5:49 pm #375748
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54835
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    There are various combinations that can happen:

    Year 1 16,000, Year 2 20,000. So total 35,000
    Year 1 16,000, Year 2 (2000), So total 14,000
    Year 1 12,000, Year 2 20,000, So total 32,000
    Year 1 12,000, Year 2 (2,000 ) So total 10,000
    Year 1 (4,000), Year 2 20,000. So total 16,000
    Year 1 (4,000), Year 2 (2,000) So total (6,000)

    However, the way in the answer is more complicated than it needs to be.

    The expected value in the 1st year is (0.15 x 16,000) + (0.60 x 12,000) – (4,000 x 0.25) = 8,600
    The expected value in the 2nd year is (20,000 x 0.75) – (0.25 x 2,000) = 14,500

    Total = 8,600 + 14,500 = 23,100 (same as the answer) 🙂

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