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Basis risk

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA AFM Exams › Basis risk

  • This topic has 10 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 10 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 11 posts - 1 through 11 (of 11 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • May 28, 2015 at 10:36 pm #250019
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    Sir when do we add n when do we deduct basis risk to find closing future price . Is that correct that if spot rate bigger than future price in that case we deduct basis,please clarify. Thanks

    May 29, 2015 at 10:04 am #250116
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54704
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    If the current futures price is higher than the current spot rate, then the futures price will always be higher. If, on the other hand, the current futures price is lower than the current spot rate, then the futures price will always be lower.

    May 29, 2015 at 11:15 am #250154
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    So that means if current future price higher than current spot rate then we will add basis risk and vice versa am I right.

    May 29, 2015 at 12:10 pm #250189
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54704
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are right 🙂

    May 29, 2015 at 12:47 pm #250205
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    Thank you so much sir,u are genius i m sure u r getting blessing of thousand students like me.

    May 29, 2015 at 12:53 pm #250211
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54704
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Thank you 🙂

    May 30, 2015 at 10:47 am #250497
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    Sir can you please have a look at Phobos co 12/08, as we R selling so taking settlement price as per lecture.Current spot price is 94 and current future/settlement price is 93.88, then why r they adding basis,because as per ur reply current future price is less so they should be reducing basis risk. Please clarify.
    Thanks

    May 30, 2015 at 11:05 am #250501
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    Sorry sir did u mean it should be deducted from 100,I thought it should be deducted from 7. Please clarify. Thanks

    May 30, 2015 at 2:38 pm #250611
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54704
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Current interest (equivalent to 6%) is 94; current futures is 93.88. So futures price is lower.

    Interest at close out equivalent is 93, so futures at close must be lower than 93.

    May 30, 2015 at 5:13 pm #250692
    student07
    Member
    • Topics: 193
    • Replies: 162
    • ☆☆☆

    Thank you sir,so if current future price smaller than current spot price then i will deduct basis risk from 100. I hope i right.
    Thanks

    May 31, 2015 at 9:34 am #250837
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54704
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂

    (and remember that most of the marks are for showing that you understand what is happening – little mistakes do not cost many marks anyway)

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