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Anyone can explain simulation for uncertainty in more simplely way?

Forums › ACCA Forums › ACCA AFM Advanced Financial Management Forums › Anyone can explain simulation for uncertainty in more simplely way?

  • This topic has 2 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 14 years ago by dalitso999.
Viewing 3 posts - 1 through 3 (of 3 total)
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  • March 16, 2011 at 2:48 pm #47711
    jingz
    Member
    • Topics: 5
    • Replies: 5
    • ☆

    Read the text book of BPP, still have no idea about this method.
    🙁

    Thanks in adv!

    March 18, 2011 at 8:04 am #79706
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 6
    • ☆

    I read Kaplan . Sensitity analysis considered the effects of changing one variable at time while the sitimulation( Monte Carlo Sitimulation) improves this by looking at many changing variables at one time. it produces a distribution of possible outcomes from the project then the probality of different outcomes is then calculated. These is done in 3 stages:
    1- Specify the major variable e.g market details where the market size, selling price , market growth rate will be looked into
    2- Specify the relationship between the variables to calculate NPV
    3-Simulate the Environment- This now forming the distribution for each variable – the select the value of each variable corresponding with the selected random nmber and compute the NPV- This process ir repeated so many times to create a probability of distribution returns

    the result of a simulation exercise will be a probability of NPVs

    i think this will help you

    May 8, 2011 at 5:02 pm #79707
    dalitso999
    Member
    • Topics: 0
    • Replies: 11
    • ☆

    Nathyokani ? are you in Malawi ?

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