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- January 20, 2020 at 11:48 am #559175
question 2 Lurgshall Co
part (a)
Can you explain how to calculate the unexpired basis on 1 september
and expected futures price please.
thanksJanuary 20, 2020 at 3:07 pm #559197The current LIBOR is 4.5% which is equivalent to 95.5.
The current September futures price is 95.05, and therefore the current basis is 95.5 – 95.05 = 0.45.‘Now’ is 1 May and therefore there are 5 months to the end of the September future.
The borrowing is on 1 September which is 4 months from ‘now’.Therefore on 1 September the basis will have fallen to 1/5 x 0.45 = 0.09.
If LIBOR increases by 0.6% it will be 5.1% which is equivalent to 94.9.
Therefore the futures price will be 94.9 – 0.09 = 94.81 (assuming of course, as we always do assume, that the basis falls linearly to zero over the life of the future. In practice this might not be the case.)I do explain all this in detail, with examples, in my free lectures on interest rate risk management.
February 19, 2020 at 3:50 pm #562400hi i wish to ask why must using the current September future prices as 95.05 instead of using the 30september future exercise price of 95.25 to calculate the basis ?
February 19, 2020 at 5:52 pm #56242395.35 is the price at which they are able to exercise the options if they choose to do so.
If they do choose to exercise then they will sell futures (because they are put options) at 95.35 and will therefore have to buy futures at whatever the price happens to be on that date.
The exercise price of the options is of no relevance whatsoever in determining the price of the futures on that date.
I suggest that you watch my free lectures on interest rate futures and on options where I explain how they both work.
February 20, 2020 at 12:16 pm #562492thanks.
February 20, 2020 at 3:15 pm #562514You are welcome 🙂
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