• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
Free ACCA & CIMA online courses from OpenTuition

Free ACCA & CIMA online courses from OpenTuition

Free Notes, Lectures, Tests and Forums for ACCA and CIMA exams

  • ACCA
  • CIMA
  • FIA
  • OBU
  • Books
  • Forums
  • Ask AI
  • Search
  • Register
  • Login
  • ACCA Forums
  • Ask ACCA Tutor
  • FIA Forums
  • CIMA Forums
  • OBU Forums
  • Qualified Members forum
  • Buy/Sell Books
  • All Forums
  • Latest Topics

20% off ACCA & CIMA Books

OpenTuition recommends the new interactive BPP books for June 2026 exams.
Get your discount code >>

VaR – confidence level

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA AFM Exams › VaR – confidence level

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 11 months ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • April 8, 2025 at 10:57 pm #716524
    Maolin
    Participant
    • Topics: 3
    • Replies: 1
    • ☆

    Hi Tutor, I have a question regarding the concept of confidence levels. From my understanding, when we say the confidence level is 95%, it means there is a 2.5% chance that the value might fall below the lower tail, and a 2.5% chance that it might exceed the upper tail, assuming a standard normal distribution.

    However, during the lecture, we considered only the lower tail, where the probability of the value falling below this threshold is 5%. This seems different from what I expected, as I thought it should only be 2.5% for the lower tail, with the remaining 2.5% corresponding to the upper tail. I understand that we are measuring the value at risk, but I’m curious as to why the lower tail is assigned a 5% probability in this context.

    Could you please clarify this? Thank you so much for your help in advance!

    April 9, 2025 at 8:28 am #716532
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54835
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    It is because with VAR we are only concerned about falling below a certain level. Anything above that level we are happy with but are worried about the chances of falling below that level.

  • Author
    Posts
Viewing 2 posts - 1 through 2 (of 2 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
Log In

Primary Sidebar

Kaplan ACCA Free Trial

Donate
If you have benefited from our materials, please donate

ACCA News:

ACCA My Exam Performance for non-variant

Applied Skills exams is available NOW

ACCA Options:  “Read the Mind of the Marker” articles

Subscribe to ACCA’s Student Accountant Direct

ACCA CBE Exams – Instant Poll

How was your exam, and what was the exam result?

BT CBE exam was.. | MA CBE exam was..
FA CBE exam was.. | LW CBE exam was..

Donate

If you have benefited from OpenTuition please donate.

PQ Magazine

Latest Comments

  • Korankye on Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty: Sensitivity Analysis (example 1) – ACCA Financial Management (FM)
  • StefanHakim on Inventory and IAS 2 Examples 1-3 – ACCA Financial Accounting (FA) lectures
  • triggeringevent101 on Groups – Other points – ACCA SBR
  • triggeringevent101 on Groups – Other points – ACCA SBR
  • JuliaThanAung on The nature and structure of organisations – ACCA Paper BT

Copyright © 2026 · Support · Contact · Advertising · OpenLicense · About · Sitemap · Comments · Log in