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- September 3, 2023 at 3:49 pm #691248
Hello Sir,
In the following question why we have not care about the price of the share in year 2 when the dividend is growing by 2%,
or in this case we have to to care only about the first year price
will it be enough to give the price as on now by looking only to year 1 and ignoring the growth after that as it is given in the question,
Thanks,
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Q 180 in Kaplan 2022-2023 Exam Kit
Bilbo Co is an unlisted company with 800,000 issued shares. Seema is one of the founders and owns 20% of the issued shares.
Bilbo Co has just paid its annual dividend of $0.30 per share. It is expected that next year’s dividend will be $0.32 per share. After that it is expected that dividends will grow indefinitely at 2% per year.
Shareholders expect a 12% return from their investment.
Using the dividend valuation model, calculate the value of Seema’s shareholding.
A $512,000
B
$522,240
C
$489,600
D
$480,000answer
A
The value of next year’s dividend has been given (D1 = $0.32), so the share price calculation is:
Share price = D1 / (ke – g) = 0.32/(0.12 – 0.02) = $3.20
Seema’s shareholding is 800,000 × 20% = 160,000 shares
The value of this shareholding is 160,000 × $3.20 = $512,000
The formula on the formula sheet uses D0(1 + g) but remember that this is just a way of calculating the dividend cash flow at time period 1 (next year), D1, so if D1 has been given it is simpler to use that. Plus, in this case, the growth between D0 and D1 ($0.32/$.30 = 1.067, so growth was 6.7%) wasn’t the same as the growth after that, so applying a 2% growth figure to D0 would have been an incorrect approach.
Incorrect answers did not take the given figure for D1 and either used the dividend just paid with 2% growth to get an answer of $489,600 or incorrectly added growth of 2% to the given dividend figure of $0.32 to get an answer of $522,240.September 3, 2023 at 10:01 pm #691261First, let’s calculate the present value of the next year’s dividend.
The next year’s dividend is expected to be $0.32 per share. Since Seema owns 20% of the issued shares, her share of the dividend would be 20% of $0.32, which is $0.064.
(Because … It is expected that next year’s dividend will be $0.32 per share. After that it is expected that dividends will grow indefinitely at 2% per year.)
So next, we need to calculate the “present value” of the future dividends that will grow indefinitely at a rate of 2% per year. The formula to calculate the present value of a growing perpetuity is:
Present Value = Dividend / (Required Rate of Return – Growth Rate)
In this case, the dividend is $0.32 and the growth rate is 2%. The required rate of return is 12%. Plugging these values into the formula, we get:
Present Value = $0.32 / (0.12 – 0.02) = $0.32 / 0.10 = $3.20
$3.20 * (800,000 * 0.20) = $512,000
September 4, 2023 at 11:10 am #691293Hi,
So we calculated the price depending on perpetuity of dividend
so what is the benefit of the first calculation 20% of .32 =.64
Thanks,
September 4, 2023 at 2:58 pm #691309Just to show you – Seema owns 20% of the issued shares, her share of the dividend would be 20% of $0.32, which is $0.064.
September 5, 2023 at 2:43 pm #691414Thank you very much.
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