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Sequential Real Option to Expand

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA AFM Exams › Sequential Real Option to Expand

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 12 years ago by John Moffat.
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  • August 19, 2012 at 4:40 pm #54187
    huaojozu
    Member
    • Topics: 1
    • Replies: 0
    • ☆

    Hello, I have a question that I couldn’t find an answer to in any literature.

    Suppose we have a company with multiple opportunities to expand, each dependant on the one before. For example: The company can do Project A with certain costs and revenues lasting one year. They can also follow up on this Project after a year with Project B with certain different costs and revenues. And so on for 5 years. Basically, this comes down to 5 sequential options to expand. If the company chooses to exercise the first expansion option, they then gain access to the second option. If that is exercised, the third becomes available and so on.

    The problem I have find while studying appropriate literature is that all chapters on sequential options assume there are multiple stages with certain costs but only the last one brings revenue – whereas in the problem above, all stages bring both costs and revenues.

    Is there a way to calculate this problem using a binomial lattice?

    August 19, 2012 at 5:26 pm #104440
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54687
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Yes – you could use a binomial lattice, but there is no way that this could be asked for in the examination.

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