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Risk and uncertainty

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA PM Exams › Risk and uncertainty

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 7 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • May 25, 2017 at 11:01 am #387994
    preetierc
    Participant
    • Topics: 5
    • Replies: 1
    • ☆

    Sir I have a query that I desperately need helps with. There’s a question on minimax regret in the textbook.

    Now base on the video u posted I understand that the table is a table of regrets

    And following your teachings I was able to work out the regret table

    However I don’t understand the last scenario

    Why is the 105 under D is a positive

    If I choose D with a loss of 20 over a profit of 85 isn’t that double loss

    Shouldn’t the 105 be a negative or a total of losses

    Please refer to tx book question and answer below

    A company has three projects to select from

    Projects
    D. E. F

    Scenarios
    1. 100 80 60
    2. 90 120 85
    3. (20) 10 85

    Answer

    Pay off table

    Projects
    D. E. F

    Scenarios
    1. 0 20 40
    2. 30 0 35
    3. 105 75 0

    May 25, 2017 at 3:32 pm #388052
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    When calculating the regret table, you take each uncertain item in turn.

    So if scenario 3 occurred, then F would be best (with a profit of 85), and so the regret for F would be 0.
    If E has been chosen, then they would have only got 10, which is 75 less than 85, so the regret is 75.
    If D had been chosen, they they would have lost 20. A loss of 20 is 105 less than 85, and so the regret is 105. (85 – 105 = minus 20)

    May 25, 2017 at 4:17 pm #388074
    preetierc
    Participant
    • Topics: 5
    • Replies: 1
    • ☆

    Thank u this was very helpful. I wasn’t looking at it that way. I was putting it in bracket and believe it’s lesser than zero and should have been the package to be selected wit zero regrets.

    So can I safely say when doing a regret table of a decision package with a loss end results will be in a positive figure of course representing a regret.

    May 25, 2017 at 4:25 pm #388082
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Correct 🙂

  • Author
    Posts
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • The topic ‘Risk and uncertainty’ is closed to new replies.

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