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DIVIDEND VALUATION

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › DIVIDEND VALUATION

  • This topic has 7 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 8 posts - 1 through 8 (of 8 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • September 19, 2015 at 3:00 pm #272496
    Ooi
    Participant
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 16
    • ☆

    question
    The dividend is expected to grow at 3% for three years and 2% afterwards

    Cost of equity is 14%
    Dividend 250

    I am having prob in the annuity to infinity factor part

    The given solution is (1/ke-g)*pv at year 3
    The annuity factor would be 8.333*0.675 = 5.624

    But I am used to this formula which is (factor year 1 to infinity) -(factor year 1-3)

    Based on the table of PV @14%
    Year 1 0.877
    Year 2 0.769
    Year 3 0.675

    So the annuity factor for year 4 to infinity is
    8.333- 2.321 = 6.012

    Why there are such diff in annuity factor from the two ways of calculating the annuity factor for perpetuity?

    September 19, 2015 at 6:18 pm #272504
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54701
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You can do it either way, except that if you are doing it the way that you want to, then you need to subtract the annuity factor for 2 year (not for three years).

    The perpetuity factor give you the PV if it is for years 1 to infinity. For 3 to infinity you need to subtract the annuity factor for 2 years.

    The answer might be a little different but this is only because of rounding and this is not a problem in the exam.

    September 20, 2015 at 5:47 am #272532
    Ooi
    Participant
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 16
    • ☆

    Thanks mr John. Shouldn’t it be year 4 to infinity instead of year 3 to infinity since the dividend growth change at year 4?

    September 20, 2015 at 9:08 am #272538
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54701
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    No – 3 to infinity.

    The dividend at time 3 will have grown at 3% per year for 3 years, but will then grow at 4% in the fourth year and each year indefinitely.

    September 20, 2015 at 6:03 pm #272576
    Ooi
    Participant
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 16
    • ☆

    I am a little confused here. The question says the dividend is expected to grow at 3% for three years and then 2% afterwards.

    So from y1-y3 dividend grows by 3% each year and 2% for Year4 onwards right? So year 4 onwards is perpetuity or otherwise.thus the perpetuity should starts at 4 years time right cos the dividend change at 2% in year 4 which is in perpetuity from year 4 onwards? I am so confused right now, please clarify please

    September 21, 2015 at 7:01 am #272602
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54701
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Just suppose for a moment that the dividend was 10c at time 1 growing at 2% per year. Then the present value of the dividend from 1 to infinity would be given by multiplying by 1/r. This would give a value at time 0.

    Suppose instead that there was a dividend of 10c at time 3 growing at 2% a year. Then since it starts 2 years later (time 3 instead of time 1) multiplying by 1/r gives a PV 2 years later as well – time 2 instead of time 0.

    In this question, the dividend at time 3 will have inflated for 3 years, but from then on it will be growing at 2% each year.

    September 21, 2015 at 9:14 am #272614
    Ooi
    Participant
    • Topics: 10
    • Replies: 16
    • ☆

    I got it mr John. Thanks for the help.

    September 21, 2015 at 4:58 pm #272661
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54701
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    That’s great, and you are very welcome 🙂

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