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Dividend growth model

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Dividend growth model

  • This topic has 5 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 11 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • May 7, 2014 at 2:27 pm #167783
    aishaasad
    Member
    • Topics: 159
    • Replies: 185
    • ☆☆☆

    hello Sir,
    plz explain me when shoild i use the formula Po=D1 / Ke-g
    is it when div is about to be paid this was used in QSX june 2010 pb (ii)
    but when i see the corhig (6/12) the dividend the usual formula
    Po=Do(1+g)/Ke-g has been used
    what is the difference in the two scenarios which i am not being able to pick
    i am ok with the discounting in both scenarios

    May 7, 2014 at 4:33 pm #167803
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54656
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    The formula gives the ex-div market value (Po).

    D1 and Do(1+g) are the same thing – D1 is the dividend in 1 years time, which is the same as the current dividend plus growth (i.e. D0(1+g))

    May 8, 2014 at 4:57 am #167842
    aishaasad
    Member
    • Topics: 159
    • Replies: 185
    • ☆☆☆

    i am still confused 🙁
    Sir plz explain me with reference to those two questions i mentioned earlier

    May 8, 2014 at 7:03 am #167849
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54656
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    My answer to your original question remains the same. D1 in the dividend in 1 years time, and Do(1+g) is exactly the same thing. The reason D1 is higher than Do is precisely because of the growth. It is the same formula – there is only the one formula and you can write it either way.

    What I guess is confusing you is a different problem. The formula gives the market value now (Po) assuming that the current dividend is growing at a constant rate. That Po is now and that D1 (or Do(1+g) is in 1 years time.
    In QSX, the dividend does not start growing at a content rate until 4 years from now. So the formula can only be using from then on. So……if instead of D1 we have D4, the formula will give P3 instead of P0 (3 years later in both cases).

    As you will know from my lectures, the market value is the present value of future dividends, so having got P3 we then discount for 3 years to get Po (which is what we want).

    May 8, 2014 at 12:49 pm #167907
    aishaasad
    Member
    • Topics: 159
    • Replies: 185
    • ☆☆☆

    so in QSX the dividend of 70c is inclusive of growth rate cz its in the fourth year and directors assume the growth rate 0f 3% after 3 years
    whereas in corhig year 3 div is given as 1000 so we need to add growth rate to get the value after year 3.
    am i correct?

    May 8, 2014 at 2:49 pm #167919
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54656
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    Yes – you are correct.

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