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inverted yield curve

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › inverted yield curve

  • This topic has 1 reply, 2 voices, and was last updated 10 years ago by John Moffat.
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  • October 23, 2014 at 4:21 pm #205654
    syed ali
    Member
    • Topics: 92
    • Replies: 54
    • ☆☆

    the shorter term yields are higher than the longer term yield which can be a sign of upcoming recession how please explain this

    October 23, 2014 at 5:55 pm #205677
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54749
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    It means that investors are expecting interest rates to fall in the future.

    This does not necessarily mean that there will be a recession, but in a recession interest rates do tend to fall. So if people expect interest rates to fall, it could be because they expect that there will be a recession.

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