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Dividend growth model and Market value

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA FM Exams › Dividend growth model and Market value

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 2 years ago by AvatarJohn Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • July 4, 2023 at 11:47 am #687623
    Avataralawi sayed
    Participant
    • Topics: 319
    • Replies: 370
    • ☆☆☆☆

    Hello Sir,

    Analysing Question 317 in the Kaplan exam kit 2022-2023

    part A (ii)

    Do the dividend growth model means the cost side of the valuation of the company if we use it to value the shares of the company

    because the market value of Danoca Co is $16.5m ($3.30 × 5m) using the market price ex div

    and since the valuation using the growth model  of Danoca Co was  = $2.95 × 5m = $14.75 million 

    which is lesser than the market value by 16.5-14.75=$1.75m

    So can I assume that the growth model showing cost side of the company value
    which is different and could be lower than the market value of the company.

    Thanks

    ——————-

    Q
    317  PHOBIS (DEC 07 – MODIFIED)  

    (a) 

    Phobis Co is considering a bid for Danoca Co. Both companies are stock market listed  and are in the same business sector. Financial information on Danoca Co, which is  shortly to pay its annual dividend, is as follows:  Number of ordinary shares  Ordinary share price (ex div basis)  Earnings per share  Proposed payout ratio  Dividend per share one year ago  Dividend per share two years ago  Equity beta    Other relevant financial information  Average sector price/earnings ratio  Risk?free rate of return  Return on the market  5 million  $3.30  40.0c  60%  23.3c  22.0c  1.4      10  4.6%  10.6% 

    Required:  Calculate the value of Danoca Co using the following methods: 
    (i)  price/earnings ratio method 
    (ii)  dividend growth model 

    and discuss the significance, to Phobis Co, of the values you have calculated, in  comparison to the current market value of Danoca Co. 

    July 5, 2023 at 8:18 am #687641
    AvatarJohn Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54839
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    As I explain in my free lectures, in theory the market value of shares is the present value of the expected future dividends (which is what the growth model formula is giving).

    In practice, a PE valuation is more commonly used (especially when considering taking over another company) because of the problem determining the expected future dividends.

    I do discuss both approaches in my free lectures on this.

    July 5, 2023 at 8:27 am #687643
    Avataralawi sayed
    Participant
    • Topics: 319
    • Replies: 370
    • ☆☆☆☆

    Thanks a lot.

    July 5, 2023 at 5:52 pm #687676
    AvatarJohn Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54839
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂

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