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Expected value

Forums › Ask ACCA Tutor Forums › Ask the Tutor ACCA PM Exams › Expected value

  • This topic has 3 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 5 years ago by John Moffat.
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
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  • March 23, 2020 at 3:09 pm #565579
    sarah762
    Member
    • Topics: 67
    • Replies: 127
    • ☆☆

    “Expected values will ignore any variability which could occur across the range of possible outcomes”

    What does variability means in the statement above?

    March 24, 2020 at 7:34 am #565611
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    The spread (or difference) between the various possible outcomes.

    For example if the outcomes are 49 or 51, each with a 0.5 probability of occurring, then the expected value is 50.

    Similarly, if the outcomes are 10 or 90, each with a 0.5 probability of occurring, then the expected value is also 50.

    Purely on expected values, the two are the same. However saying that they are the same is ignoring the fact that the possible outcomes in the second one have a much greater spread than the outcomes in the first one.

    March 24, 2020 at 10:05 am #565625
    sarah762
    Member
    • Topics: 67
    • Replies: 127
    • ☆☆

    Thanks!

    March 24, 2020 at 3:02 pm #565649
    John Moffat
    Keymaster
    • Topics: 57
    • Replies: 54655
    • ☆☆☆☆☆

    You are welcome 🙂

  • Author
    Posts
Viewing 4 posts - 1 through 4 (of 4 total)
  • The topic ‘Expected value’ is closed to new replies.

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